Helping renewable energy investor with climate decision models

Octopus Energy Generation is one of the largest renewables investors in Europe. 

It manages over 270 large-scale green energy projects across a number of countries.

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The challenge

The client has a renewable energy fund focused on providing investors with long-term returns.  

They needed to meet investment objectives of maintaining asset availability, and maximising lifetimes, by quantifying the materiality of climate risk impacts on their portfolio – and translating this into useful metrics for strategic decision-making.  

Action

We developed an end-to-end risk intelligence model for the client that: 

  • Identified material climate risks ranked by investment vulnerability 
  • Provided a comparison of climate- and resilience-adjusted cash flow projections 
  • Quantified reduction in investment return variability 
  • Determined optimal resilience measures based on cost-benefit analysis 
The collaboration with Howden’s expert team provided technical insight into how climate risk can be better quantified compared to the way that we have historically thought about it
Tom Woolerton, Senior Investment Manager, Octopus Energy Generation

Result

Octopus Energy Generation can now:

Better understand materiality of climate risks to their investment

Identify ways to establish a climate-resilient revenue stream

Implement resilience measures to reduce downside risk and ensure optimal divestment opportunities

Demonstrate the business case for resilience measures to their investment committee

We look forward to building on the work and advancing further the development of robust methodologies for climate adaptation in the renewables infrastructure sector
Tom Woolerton

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